Aston Villa (Arthur) vs Man City (Fred) Odds Analysis · Thu, Jul 30, 2026

Analyzes how bookmakers move the handicap line and odds, then compares similar historical patterns to estimate home-side and away-side cover rates.

Consensus Cover-rate stats for the home side and away side when multiple bookmakers move the line in the same direction. Stronger consensus means a more reliable reference.

Disagreement Historical cover rates when bookmakers diverge clearly on the line — helps identify the direction of the split and potential risk.

Pick Generated by cross-checking consensus direction against disagreement signals. When they conflict, no pick is shown — keeping conclusions reliable.

Analyzes how bookmakers move the goal line and odds, then matches similar historical patterns to estimate Over/Under hit rates.

Consensus Over/Under hit rates when multiple bookmakers move the goal line in the same direction. Stronger consensus means a more reliable reference.

Disagreement Historical Over/Under rates when bookmakers diverge clearly on the goal line — helps identify the direction of the split and potential risk.

Pick Generated by cross-checking consensus direction against disagreement signals. When they conflict, no pick is shown — keeping conclusions reliable.