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  3. Watford vs Derby predictions and stats

England Championship - [12] Watford v Derby [6] 2026-02-21 15:00:00

Notes:

Watford

got 2 Win 4 Lose 4 Draw in last 10 games, and scored 9 goals, conceded 14 goals. Watford scored 0.9 goals and conceded 1.4 in average. Home win rate is 20%. Asian handicap home win rate is 40%. Goal over rate is 30%. Corner over rate is 70%

Derby

got 5 Win 4 Lose 1 Draw in last 10 games, and scored 16 goals, conceded 11 goals. Derby scored 1.6 goals and conceded 1.1 in average. Home win rate is 50%. Asian handicap home win rate is 50%. Goal over rate is 60%. Corner over rate is 30%

Watford - Full-time Result
Win, 2 matches, 20%
Draw, 4 matches, 40%
Lose, 4 matches, 40%
Derby - Full-time Result
Win, 5 matches, 50%
Draw, 1 matches, 10%
Lose, 4 matches, 40%
Watford - Total Goals 2.0, 2.5
Over, 3 matches, 30%
Under, 7 matches, 70%
Derby - Total Goals 2.0, 2.5
Over, 6 matches, 60%
Under, 4 matches, 40%
Watford - Total Corners 10.0
Over, 7 matches, 70%
Under, 3 matches, 30%
Derby - Total Corners 10.0
Over, 3 matches, 30%
Void, 2 matches, 20%
Under, 5 matches, 50%
Watford - Asian Handicap
Win, 4 matches, 40%
Lose, 6 matches, 60%
Derby - Asian Handicap
Win, 5 matches, 50%
Void, 1 matches, 10%
Lose, 4 matches, 40%

Football Predictions: Goal under 2.25, Corner over 10.0, Derby +0.5 (based on history stats, only for reference)

Last [29,29] [1,1]
Watford
full Match Avg. Total Avg. Get Avg. Lost Win Draw Lose Win Prob.
Total
Home
Away
Last 6
half Match Avg. Total Avg. Get Avg. Lost Win Draw Lose Win Prob.
Total
Home
Away
Last 6
Derby
full Match Avg. Total Avg. Get Avg. Lost Win Draw Lose Win Prob.
Total
Home
Away
Last 6
half Match Avg. Total Avg. Get Avg. Lost Win Draw Lose Win Prob.
Total
Home
Away
Last 6
Total Corners over 7.5 - 13.5
Home Away Average
Over 7.5
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Over 10.5
Over 11.5
Over 12.5
Over 13.5
Cards Over 1.5 - 7.5
Home Away Average
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
Over 4.5
Over 5.5
Over 6.5
Over 7.5
Home Team Matches
Guest Team Matches
Total: 40, Avg: 2.78, Variance: 1.56, Median: 3, Modal: , Over-Rate: 0.53, Under-Rate: 0.47
Home Team Matches at home
Guest Team Matches at away
Total: 20, Avg: 3.05, Variance: 1.32, Median: 3, Modal: 3, Over-Rate: 0.68, Under-Rate: 0.32
Home Team Recent Matches
Guest Team Recent Matches
Total: 8, Avg: 2.88, Variance: 1.17, Median: 3, Modal: 3, Under-Rate: 0.63, Under-Rate: 0.38
Home Team Matches
Guest Team Matches
Total: 40, Avg: 9.85, Variance: 3.76, Median: 9, Modal: 7, Over-Rate: 0.48, Under-Rate: 0.53
Home Team Matches at home
Guest Team Matches at away
Home Team Matches
Guest Team Matches
Home Team Matches at home
Guest Team Matches at away
Total: 20, Avg: 3.80, Variance: 2.46, Median: 3, Modal: 2, Over-Rate: 0.63 Under-Rate: 0.37

Watford Last
League Time Home Score Away Result Handicap Goal Line Corner Line Corner Line Events Corner full. Corner Half. 35-45 80-90
England Championship 2025-11-22 2 Derby
1 - 0
2 - 3
 Watford 2 W 0.0, -0.5 Over 10.0
England Championship 2025-01-18 1 Derby
0 - 1
0 - 2
 Watford 3 W -0.5 Under 10.5
England Championship 2024-08-24 2 Watford
1 - 1
2 - 1
 Derby 3 W -0.5 Over 10.0
England Championship 2021-02-19 2 Watford
2 - 0
2 - 1
 Derby 2 W -0.5, -1.0 Over 9.5
England Championship 2020-10-16 1 Derby
0 - 0
0 - 1
 Watford 1 W 0.0, +0.5 Under 10.0
England Championship 2015-04-03 2 Derby
1 - 1
2 - 2
 Watford 4 1 D -0.5 Over 11.0 Draw
9-2 (11) 3-2 (5) 1 (1-0) 3 (3-0)
England Championship 2014-11-22 Watford
0 - 1
1 - 2
 Derby L 0.0 Over 11.0 Over
6-8 (14) 1-7 (8) 2 (0-2) 6 (4-2)
Last ，Score Win ，Draw ，Lose ，Score Win Prob.：
Last ，Corner Win ，Draw ，Lose ，Corner Win Prob.：
Watford Last
League Time Home Score Away Result Handicap Goal Line Corner Line Corner Line Events Corner full. Corner Half. 35-45 80-90
England Championship 2026-02-14 1 Preston
1 - 0
2 - 2
 Watford 1 D 0.0, +0.5 Over 9.5
England Championship 2026-02-07 3 Southampton
0 - 0
1 - 0
 Watford 1 L -0.5 Under 10.0
England Championship 2026-02-04 4 Hull
0 - 0
0 - 0
 Watford 3 D 0.0, -0.5 Under 10.0
England Championship 2026-01-31 1 1 Watford
0 - 0
0 - 2
 Swansea 2 L 0.0, -0.5 Under 10.0
England Championship 2026-01-24 Blackburn
1 - 1
1 - 1
 Watford 2 D 0.0, -0.5 Under 10.0
England Championship 2026-01-22 1 Watford
0 - 0
1 - 1
 Portsmouth 1 D -0.5, -1.0 Under 10.0 Over
8-7 (15) 5-5 (10) 2 (2-0) 3 (2-1)
England Championship 2026-01-17 4 Watford
0 - 0
0 - 2
 Millwall 4 L 0.0, -0.5 Under 10.0 Under
4-4 (8) 1-3 (4) 1 (1-0) 0 (0-0)
England FA Cup 2026-01-11 1 Bristol City
2 - 0
5 - 1
 Watford 1 L -0.5 Over 10.0 Under
3-4 (7) 2-4 (6) 4 (1-3) 1 (1-0)
England Championship 2026-01-01 1 Watford
2 - 0
3 - 0
 Birmingham 2 W 0.0, -0.5 Over 9.5 Under
4-4 (8) 1-1 (2) 1 (1-0) 2 (0-2)
England Championship 2025-12-30 Norwich
0 - 0
0 - 1
 Watford 1 W 0.0 Under 9.5 Over
8-3 (11) 2-1 (3) 1 (1-0) 2 (2-0)
England Championship 2025-12-26 3 Leicester
1 - 1
1 - 2
 Watford 2 W 0.0, -0.5 Over 10.0 Over
5-6 (11) 2-2 (4) 1 (0-1) 2 (1-1)
England Championship 2025-12-20 3 Watford
0 - 0
1 - 0
 Stoke 3 W 0.0, -0.5 Under 10.5 Over
7-5 (12) 2-2 (4) 1 (1-0) 2 (1-1)
England Championship 2025-12-13 3 Wrexham
1 - 2
2 - 2
 Watford 6 D 0.0 Over 10.0 Under
7-1 (8) 3-0 (3) 2 (2-0) 1 (1-0)
England Championship 2025-12-10 1 Watford
0 - 1
1 - 1
 Sheff Wed 2 D -1.0 Under 10.5 Over
7-4 (11) 3-2 (5) 2 (2-0) 3 (1-2)
England Championship 2025-12-06 1 Watford
1 - 2
3 - 2
 Norwich 2 W -0.5 Over 10.0 Over
6-5 (11) 2-1 (3) 0 (0-0) 2 (0-2)
England Championship 2025-12-02 3 Birmingham
2 - 0
2 - 1
 Watford 2 L -0.5, -1.0 Over 9.5 Over
6-6 (12) 3-2 (5) 0 (0-0) 3 (3-0)
England Championship 2025-11-26 2 Watford
1 - 1
1 - 1
 Preston 4 D -0.5 Under 10.0 Under
6-2 (8) 2-1 (3) 1 (0-1) 2 (1-1)
England Championship 2025-11-22 2 Derby
1 - 0
2 - 3
 Watford 2 W 0.0, -0.5 Over 10.0 Over
9-3 (12) 4-2 (6) 2 (2-0) 2 (1-1)
England Championship 2025-11-08 2 Watford
1 - 1
1 - 1
 Bristol City 1 D -0.5 Under 9.5 Over
6-4 (10) 2-2 (4) 2 (0-2) 1 (1-0)
England Championship 2025-11-05 1 Ipswich
1 - 1
1 - 1
 Watford 2 D -0.5, -1.0 Under 10.0 Under
2-5 (7) 1-2 (3) 2 (0-2) 4 (1-3)
England Championship 2025-11-01 2 Watford
2 - 0
3 - 0
 Middlesbrough 1 W 0.0 Over 10.0 Under
1-7 (8) 1-4 (5) 0 (0-0) 1 (0-1)
England Championship 2025-10-25 3 Coventry
3 - 0
3 - 1
 Watford 2 1 L -1.0 Over 10.5 Over
5-6 (11) 1-5 (6) 2 (1-1) 0 (0-0)
England Championship 2025-10-23 Watford
1 - 1
2 - 1
 West Brom 2 W 0.0 Over 9.5 Under
4-4 (8) 1-1 (2) 0 (0-0) 2 (1-1)
England Championship 2025-10-18 Sheff Utd
0 - 0
1 - 0
 Watford 1 L -0.5 Under 10.0 Draw
7-3 (10) 6-0 (6) 3 (3-0) 1 (0-1)
England Championship 2025-10-04 3 Watford
2 - 1
2 - 1
 Oxford Utd 4 W -0.5 Over 10.0 Over
9-3 (12) 5-2 (7) 1 (1-0) 3 (3-0)
England Championship 2025-10-02 2 Portsmouth
1 - 0
2 - 2
 Watford 5 D 0.0, -0.5 Over 10.0 Under
3-3 (6) 1-2 (3) 0 (0-0) 1 (0-1)
England Championship 2025-09-27 1 Watford
0 - 1
2 - 1
 Hull 5 W 0.0, -0.5 Over 10.0 Over
6-6 (12) 3-3 (6) 2 (2-0) 2 (0-2)
England Championship 2025-09-23 1 Millwall
1 - 0
1 - 0
 Watford L -0.5 Under 10.0 Over
7-4 (11) 5-1 (6) 2 (2-0) 3 (1-2)
England Championship 2025-09-13 1 Watford
0 - 0
0 - 1
 Blackburn 2 L 0.0, -0.5 Under 9.5 Over
5-7 (12) 1-5 (6) 4 (1-3) 4 (2-2)
England Championship 2025-08-30 2 Watford
0 - 1
2 - 2
 Southampton 5 D 0.0 Over 10.0 Under
4-5 (9) 1-3 (4) 2 (0-2) 2 (0-2)
Last ，Score Win ，Draw ，Lose ，Score Win Prob.：
Last ，Corner Win ，Draw ，Lose ，Corner Win Prob.：
Derby Last
League Time Home Score Away Result Handicap Goal Line Corner Line Corner Line Events Corner full. Corner Half. 35-45 80-90
England Championship 2026-02-14 2 Derby
0 - 0
2 - 0
 Swansea 2 W 0.0 Under 9.5
England Championship 2026-02-07 1 2 Derby
0 - 1
1 - 2
 Ipswich 4 L +0.5 Over 10.0
England Championship 2026-01-31 1 Bristol City
0 - 3
0 - 5
 Derby 1 W -0.5 Over 10.0
England Championship 2026-01-24 2 Derby
1 - 0
1 - 1
 West Brom 3 D 0.0 Under 10.0
England Championship 2026-01-21 Charlton
0 - 1
1 - 2
 Derby 3 1 W 0.0 Over 10.0
England Championship 2026-01-17 2 Preston
0 - 0
0 - 1
 Derby 5 W 0.0, -0.5 Under 10.0 Over
5-10 (15) 2-7 (9) 1 (0-1) 3 (2-1)
England FA Cup 2026-01-11 1 Derby
1 - 0
1 - 3
 Leeds 1 L +1.0 Over 10.0 Draw
5-5 (10) 2-2 (4) 0 (0-0) 0 (0-0)
England Championship 2026-01-04 1 Derby
1 - 1
1 - 2
 Wrexham 2 L 0.0, -0.5 Over 10.0 Over
12-2 (14) 7-0 (7) 3 (3-0) 1 (0-1)
England Championship 2026-01-01 2 Derby
0 - 0
1 - 0
 Middlesbrough 2 W 0.0, +0.5 Under 10.0 Over
4-9 (13) 3-5 (8) 3 (1-2) 3 (1-2)
England Championship 2025-12-30 1 Leicester
2 - 1
2 - 1
 Derby 2 L 0.0, -0.5 Over 10.0 Under
3-4 (7) 1-1 (2) 0 (0-0) 2 (1-1)
England Championship 2025-12-26 1 3 Birmingham
0 - 1
1 - 1
 Derby 2 1 D -0.5 Under 10.0 Over
12-1 (13) 5-0 (5) 1 (1-0) 4 (4-0)
England Championship 2025-12-20 1 Derby
1 - 1
1 - 1
 Portsmouth 1 D -0.5 Under 10.0 Draw
6-4 (10) 4-0 (4) 1 (1-0) 1 (1-0)
England Championship 2025-12-16 4 Sheff Wed
0 - 1
0 - 3
 Derby 1 W 0.0, +0.5 Over 10.5 Under
1-5 (6) 1-1 (2) 0 (0-0) 2 (0-2)
England Championship 2025-12-11 2 Derby
0 - 0
1 - 1
 Millwall 3 D 0.0 Under 9.5 Over
11-7 (18) 2-6 (8) 4 (0-4) 5 (5-0)
England Championship 2025-12-06 3 Derby
0 - 3
1 - 3
 Leicester 2 L 0.0 Over 10.0 Under
6-3 (9) 1-2 (3) 0 (0-0) 4 (4-0)
England Championship 2025-11-29 Middlesbrough
0 - 1
2 - 1
 Derby 2 L -0.5 Over 10.0 Over
9-8 (17) 4-8 (12) 3 (1-2) 1 (1-0)
England Championship 2025-11-26 Swansea
0 - 1
1 - 2
 Derby 2 W 0.0, -0.5 Over 9.5 Under
4-2 (6) 2-0 (2) 1 (1-0) 1 (0-1)
England Championship 2025-11-22 2 Derby
1 - 0
2 - 3
 Watford 2 L 0.0, -0.5 Over 10.0 Over
9-3 (12) 4-2 (6) 2 (2-0) 2 (1-1)
England Championship 2025-11-08 1 Blackburn
0 - 2
1 - 2
 Derby 3 W 0.0, -0.5 Over 9.5 Over
13-3 (16) 5-2 (7) 3 (3-0) 6 (6-0)
England Championship 2025-11-05 1 Derby
1 - 0
2 - 1
 Hull W 0.0, -0.5 Over 10.0 Over
6-5 (11) 4-1 (5) 2 (2-0) 2 (0-2)
England Championship 2025-11-01 2 Sheff Utd
0 - 1
1 - 3
 Derby 1 W -0.5, -1.0 Over 10.0 Over
9-4 (13) 2-3 (5) 1 (1-0) 3 (3-0)
England Championship 2025-10-25 2 Derby
1 - 0
1 - 0
 QPR 2 W 0.0 Under 10.0 Under
5-2 (7) 3-1 (4) 0 (0-0) 1 (0-1)
England Championship 2025-10-22 2 Derby
0 - 0
1 - 0
 Norwich 1 W 0.0, -0.5 Under 9.5 Over
5-13 (18) 1-9 (10) 1 (0-1) 3 (2-1)
England Championship 2025-10-18 4 Oxford Utd
1 - 0
1 - 0
 Derby 1 L 0.0 Under 9.5 Over
4-12 (16) 1-3 (4) 2 (1-1) 6 (0-6)
England Championship 2025-10-04 4 Derby
1 - 1
1 - 1
 Southampton 2 D 0.0, +0.5 Under 10.0 Under
3-5 (8) 3-0 (3) 0 (0-0) 3 (0-3)
England Championship 2025-10-01 2 Derby
0 - 1
1 - 1
 Charlton D 0.0 Draw 9.5 Under
5-2 (7) 1-1 (2) 0 (0-0) 3 (2-1)
England Championship 2025-09-27 1 Wrexham
0 - 0
1 - 1
 Derby 5 D 0.0, -0.5 Under 9.5 Under
4-3 (7) 0-1 (1) 1 (0-1) 3 (3-0)
England Championship 2025-09-20 2 Derby
0 - 1
0 - 1
 Preston 2 L 0.0, -0.5 Under 9.0 Under
3-4 (7) 0-3 (3) 1 (0-1) 1 (1-0)
England Championship 2025-09-13 1 West Brom
0 - 0
0 - 1
 Derby 2 W -0.5, -1.0 Under 10.0 Over
11-0 (11) 3-0 (3) 2 (2-0) 6 (6-0)
England Championship 2025-08-30 2 Ipswich
1 - 0
2 - 2
 Derby 7 D -1.0 Over 10.0 Under
6-3 (9) 4-2 (6) 2 (2-0) 1 (1-0)
Last ，Score Win ，Draw ，Lose ，Score Win Prob.：
Last ，Corner Win ，Draw ，Lose ，Corner Win Prob.：
Publish Tips
1x2
Full 2.050 3.400 3.600
Half 2.625 2.100 4.333
Asian Handicap
Full (-0.5) [email protected] [email protected]
Half (0.0, -0.5) [email protected] [email protected]
Asian Corners
Full (10.0) [email protected] [email protected]
Half (4.5) [email protected] [email protected]
Goal Line
Full (2.0, 2.5) [email protected] [email protected]
Half (1.0) [email protected] [email protected]

Time Type Selection Stake Result
Live Events

Status: full , Score: 2 - 0 , Corner: 2 - 2

Corner: 10.0 , Handicap: -0.5 , Goals: 2.0, 2.5

8
Shoot on target
2
10
Shoot off target
4
86
Attack
123
40
Dangerous Attack
37
45
Possession %
55

Score: 1 - 0 , Corner: 0 - 2 Half

Corner: 4.5 , Handicap: 0.0, -0.5 , Goals: 1.0

3
Shoot on target
0
3
Shoot off target
2
48
Attack
64
12
Dangerous Attack
16
48
Possession %
52
  • 5' - 1st Goal - Watford
  • 5' - 1st Shot On Target - Kjerrumgaard (Watford)]
  • 5' - 1st Shot Off Target - Kayembe (Watford)]
  • 8' - 2nd Shot Off Target - Szmodics (Derby)]
  • 11' - 3rd Shot Off Target - Louza (Watford)]
  • 14' - 2nd Shot On Target - Ngakia (Watford)]
  • 22' - 1st Yellow Card - Derby
  • 25' - 3rd Shot On Target - Chakvetadze (Watford)]
  • 23' ~ Substitution ~ Chakvetadze ~ Maamma ~(Watford)
  • 32' - 1st Corner - Derby
  • 33' - 2nd Corner - Derby
  • 45+4' - 5th Shot Off Target - Kayembe (Watford)]
  • 1-0 score at the end of First Half
  • 45+4' - 5th Shot Off Target - Kayembe (Watford)]
  • 46' - 5th Shot Off Target - Ward (Derby)]
  • 48' - 3rd Corner - Watford
  • 48' - 4th Shot On Target - Irankunda (Watford)]
  • 49' - 4th Corner - Watford
  • 49' - 6th Shot Off Target - Kayembe (Watford)]
  • 49' - 7th Shot Off Target - Mendy (Watford)]
  • 52' - 2nd Yellow Card - Watford
  • 55' - 3rd Yellow Card - Derby
  • 56' - 1st Offside - Watford
  • 62' ~ Substitution ~ Clark ~ Ozoh ~(Derby)
  • 63' - 8th Shot Off Target - Kayembe (Watford)]
  • 61' ~ Substitution ~ Murkin ~ Elder ~(Derby)
  • 62' ~ Substitution ~ Morris ~ Brewster ~(Derby)
  • 67' - 5th Shot On Target - Irankunda (Watford)]
  • 68' ~ Substitution ~ Baah ~ Irankunda ~(Watford)
  • 68' ~ Substitution ~ Doumbia ~ Kjerrumgaard ~(Watford)
  • 69' - 9th Shot Off Target - Kayembe (Watford)]
  • 72' - 6th Shot On Target - Morris (Derby)]
  • 72' - 6th Shot On Target - Morris (Derby)]
  • 74' - 10th Shot Off Target - Louza (Watford)]
  • 77' - 7th Shot On Target - Doumbia (Watford)]
  • 78' ~ Substitution ~ Fraulo ~ Brereton ~(Derby)
  • 82' - 8th Shot On Target - Kayembe (Watford)]
  • 83' - 11th Shot Off Target - Agyemang (Derby)]
  • 83' - 4th Yellow Card - Watford
  • 86' - 12th Shot Off Target - Kayembe (Watford)]
  • 85' ~ Substitution ~ Bola ~ Baah ~(Watford)
  • 86' ~ Substitution ~ Pollock ~ Goglichidze ~(Watford)
  • 88' - 13th Shot Off Target - Louza (Watford)]
  • 90' - 14th Shot Off Target - Morris (Derby)]
  • 90' - 2nd Goal - Watford
  • 90' - 9th Shot On Target - Doumbia (Watford)]
  • 90' - 1st Assist - Bola (Watford)]
  • 2-0%Watford extend their lead and Early Payout is awarded
  • 90+2' ~ Substitution ~ Allen ~ Travis ~(Derby)
  • 2-0 score at the end of Second Half
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